UK Remote Gaming Duty Receipts Rise 108% in July
HMRC collected £589.7 million in July. Payment timing and the original forecasts explain what the increase proves.
UK Remote Gaming Duty receipts rose 108% year over year to £589.7 million in July 2026, according to HMRC’s provisional figures, following April’s increase in the tax rate from 21% to 40%. The figures arrive as the betting industry campaigns against a possible increase in Machine Games Duty, a separate tax, ahead of the October 28 Budget.

KEY FACTS AT A GLANCE
- July receipts: HMRC collected £589.7 million in Remote Gaming Duty, compared with £283.0 million a year earlier.
- Tax rate: Remote Gaming Duty increased from 21% to 40% on April 1, 2026.
- Payment timing: HMRC expected the higher rate to contribute to cash receipts from July onward; operators use staggered accounting periods.
- Budget debate: A separate increase in Machine Games Duty is being proposed and opposed. No such increase has been confirmed ahead of the October 28 Budget.
What HMRC’s Remote Gaming Duty receipts show
HMRC’s September 30 release records July receipts of £589.7 million, up from £283.0 million in July 2025. That is an increase of £306.7 million, or 108.4%, calculated from the unrounded figures in the underlying table.
Remote Gaming Duty covers remote gaming with UK customers, such as online casino games, poker and bingo; the taxable amount is broadly gaming payments received minus prizes paid.
*July’s year-on-year change is calculated from unrounded receipts. Bars are labeled to one decimal place. Figures are not seasonally adjusted and record cash collected, not gambling activity in each month. Swipe across the chart on smaller screens.
View the monthly data table
| Month | 2025 | 2026 (provisional) |
|---|---|---|
| April | 269.468 | 312.979 |
| May | 29.284 | 53.968 |
| June | 10.710 | 9.259 |
| July | 283.033 | 589.708 |
The same HMRC series puts April–June receipts at £376.2 million, up £66.7 million, or about 22%, from a year earlier. Including July brings the four-month total to £965.9 million, an increase of 63%. These are nominal cash collections, not inflation-adjusted measures of gambling activity.
The wider tax total rose more slowly. HMRC collected £1.933 billion across all betting and gaming duties in April–July, up 19% year over year. Remote Gaming Duty accounted for approximately half of that total.
Why an April tax increase shows up in July cash
The 40% rate took effect on April 1. HMRC nevertheless said it expected the increase to contribute to receipts from July onward. That distinction reflects the collection system: operators generally account for Remote Gaming Duty over three-month periods, with payment due by the 30th day after the period ends.
For an operator using an April–June accounting period, the payment deadline falls in July. Other operators have different quarter ends. HMRC’s monthly totals therefore combine staggered payments and can be affected by one-off transactions and revisions.
- November 26, 2025Government announces the increase
Remote Gaming Duty is set to rise from 21% to 40% on April 1, 2026.
- April 1, 2026The 40% rate takes effect
The new rate applies from this date; cash receipts follow operators’ accounting and payment schedules.
- June 30, 2026A calendar quarter closes
April–June ends for operators using the calendar quarter. Other operators use different quarterly periods.
- July 2026Higher cash receipts expected
HMRC says the rate change is expected to contribute to receipts from July onward. Quarterly payments are generally due the following month.
- September 30, 2026HMRC publishes the figures
The release includes provisional July receipts of £589.7 million.
- October 28, 2026Budget ahead
A Machine Games Duty increase remains a proposal in the debate, not an announced tax change.
This is a timing guide, not a claim that every operator pays on the same date or that July contained the first payment at the new rate. The dashed marker identifies the forthcoming Budget.
The April–June increase is not a clean measure of the 40% rate’s effect. Equally, July’s rise cannot be divided by the change in the tax rate to establish how much the underlying online gambling market grew.
What the industry forecasts actually claimed
The July result provides a clear early example of higher receipts after the rate increase. Testing the industry’s warnings requires a closer comparison, however: which tax was being modeled, at what rate, over what period, and against which baseline?
EY’s October 2025 report, commissioned by the Betting and Gaming Council (BGC), modeled a 50% Remote Gaming Duty rate within broader tax packages. Its tables showed additional annual Remote Gaming Duty of £860 million under a central response assumption and £400 million under a higher behavioral response assumption. Both were increases against the report’s estimated 2026 baseline.
That study covered BGC members and excluded activities such as bingo. Its modeled rate, coverage and assumptions differ from the implemented 40% tax. It cannot be tested directly against a single month of HMRC cash collections.
The BGC’s accompanying statement challenged the size and durability of the projected gain. It quoted Chief Executive Grainne Hurst disputing the claimed tax yield and cited industry experts who expected the short-term gain to fall sharply as the increases took effect. These comments concerned the think tanks’ proposals, including a 50% online gaming rate, rather than the enacted 40% rate.
In its October 2 note about Machine Games Duty, Regulus Partners said the online increase would initially raise additional revenue but that cuts to bonuses and investment, along with growth in unlicensed gambling, were likely to reduce the gain substantially.
Midnite tax vice president Stephen Hodgson told NEXT.io that an initial boost was to be expected while the market settled and operators waited to see how the change played out. He said 12–18 months of data would be needed to assess the effects.
That is an industry assessment, not an HMRC finding. The relevant longer-term question is whether operator changes and customer behavior reduce the initial revenue gain, and by how much.
50% Remote Gaming Duty
Additional annual RGD under central / higher consumer-response assumptions.
BGC members; part of broader tax packages, compared with an estimated 2026 baseline. Assumes full effects in 2026.
Commissioned by the BGC. A 50% scenario, not the enacted 40% rate.
40% Remote Gaming Duty
Regulus says cuts to bonuses and investment, alongside growth in unlicensed gambling, are likely to reduce the initial gain substantially.
Commentary within an MGD-focused note, published after the July receipts release, which it does not discuss; not a directly comparable model for July RGD cash receipts.
The note says Regulus may work, or have worked, for companies and stakeholders discussed.
Proposed 40% Machine Games Duty
EY modeling cited by the BGC suggests the Treasury could be worse off.
The release does not specify the estimate’s time horizon or calculation, or make clear which taxes the net figure includes.
Trade-body campaign; underlying model and assumptions are not set out in the release.
Proposed 40% Machine Games Duty
Modeled annual betting-shop MGD yield after about three years.
Closure and migration assumptions drive the estimate, including limited transfer of play to remaining shops.
Forward-looking modeling, not observed receipts. The note says Regulus may work, or have worked, for companies and stakeholders discussed.
40% duty on Category B machines
Estimated additional revenue per year.
Dynamic and static estimates for Category B machines; this is not a doubling of every MGD band.
Think-tank proposal advocating an increase; separate from RGD.
These are forecasts, scenarios, commentary or attributed claims. None is a directly comparable forecast for HMRC’s July 2026 Remote Gaming Duty cash receipts.
View the forecast comparison as a table
| Organization / date | Tax scenario | Claim | Scope and caveats |
|---|---|---|---|
| EY · October 2025 | 50% Remote Gaming Duty | +£860m / +£400m. Additional annual RGD under central / higher consumer-response assumptions. | BGC members; part of broader tax packages, compared with an estimated 2026 baseline. Assumes full effects in 2026. Commissioned by the BGC. A 50% scenario, not the enacted 40% rate. |
| Regulus · October 2026 | 40% Remote Gaming Duty | Initial gain, then erosion. Regulus says cuts to bonuses and investment, alongside growth in unlicensed gambling, are likely to reduce the initial gain substantially. | Commentary within an MGD-focused note, published after the July receipts release, which it does not discuss; not a directly comparable model for July RGD cash receipts. The note says Regulus may work, or have worked, for companies and stakeholders discussed. |
| BGC, citing EY · September 2026 | Proposed 40% Machine Games Duty | −£124m claimed. EY modeling cited by the BGC suggests the Treasury could be worse off. | The release does not specify the estimate’s time horizon or calculation, or make clear which taxes the net figure includes. Trade-body campaign; underlying model and assumptions are not set out in the release. |
| Regulus · October 2026 | Proposed 40% Machine Games Duty | −32% to £155m. Modeled annual betting-shop MGD yield after about three years. | Closure and migration assumptions drive the estimate, including limited transfer of play to remaining shops. Forward-looking modeling, not observed receipts. The note says Regulus may work, or have worked, for companies and stakeholders discussed. |
| SMF · June 2026 | 40% duty on Category B machines | +£275m–£458m. Estimated additional revenue per year. | Dynamic and static estimates for Category B machines; this is not a doubling of every MGD band. Think-tank proposal advocating an increase; separate from RGD. |
Machine Games Duty is a separate Budget dispute
The October 28 Budget creates the immediate political context, but the proposal now drawing opposition concerns Machine Games Duty, which applies to gaming machines. It is a different tax from Remote Gaming Duty on online gaming.
The Social Market Foundation has proposed a 40% rate for Category B machines. Its report estimates additional annual receipts of £275 million after allowing for behavioral changes, or £458 million without that adjustment. This is a specific proposal for Category B machines, not confirmation that the government will double every Machine Games Duty band.
The BGC’s September campaign cites EY modeling suggesting that a 40% Machine Games Duty rate could leave the Treasury £124 million worse off. The release does not specify the estimate’s time horizon or calculation, or make clear which taxes the net figure includes. It cannot be tested against July’s receipts from the separate Remote Gaming Duty.
Separately, Regulus modeled betting-shop Machine Games Duty receipts falling 32% to about £155 million after roughly three years under a 40% rate. Its argument depends on shop closures and the limited migration of activity to surviving premises. The analysis distinguishes shops’ fixed operating costs from the greater flexibility of online businesses. The note says Regulus may work, or have worked, for companies and stakeholders discussed.
July collections were substantially higher than a year earlier, in the month from which HMRC expected the higher rate to contribute. Those figures alone do not establish how much revenue the increase generated compared with keeping the rate at 21%, and they do not test a proposed change to Machine Games Duty.
What later figures need to establish
Higher tax receipts can coexist with pressure on operators. Dyutam’s coverage of GG.BET’s UK exit provides one example of that wider business context. The tax change also sits alongside debate over Gambling Commission license fees and changes to bonus wagering requirements.
Subsequent HMRC releases will show whether the increase persists across more payment cycles. Assessing why it persists or fades will also require evidence on gambling activity, operator responses and unlicensed-market participation. The current receipts series cannot establish that no customers moved offshore, that operators suffered no harm, or that the tax change caused every part of the increase.
For now, the measurable result is substantial: HMRC collected nearly £590 million in Remote Gaming Duty in July, more than twice the amount a year earlier. Assessing individual forecasts will require matching their tax coverage, assumptions and time horizons.
FAQs
What does Remote Gaming Duty tax?
HMRC charges Remote Gaming Duty on an operator’s profits from remote gaming involving UK customers, broadly gaming payments received minus prizes paid. It covers activities such as online casino games, poker and bingo. The 40% rate is not a tax on every customer stake or on the operator’s net corporate profit.
Are the July 2026 receipts final?
No. HMRC’s current-year receipts figures are provisional and may be revised. The monthly series records cash collections and is not seasonally adjusted, so payment schedules can produce large differences between months.
Has the UK confirmed a 40% Machine Games Duty rate?
No such change has been confirmed ahead of the October 28, 2026 Budget. The Social Market Foundation’s proposal concerns Category B machines; the EY figure cited by the BGC and Regulus’s modeling concern possible changes, not enacted tax rates.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- July receipts more than doubled — HMRC’s provisional Remote Gaming Duty total reached £589.7 million, up 108.4% year over year.
- Payment timing matters — the rate rose in April, while HMRC expected the higher rate to contribute to cash collections from July onward.
- Forecasts need like-for-like scrutiny — early online-duty gains do not directly settle models of different rates, longer-term behavior or Machine Games Duty.
Sources
- Betting and Gaming receipts tables, July 2026 (ODS) — HMRC, Table 1. Monthly values and percentage calculations.
- UK Betting and Gaming Statistics commentary (August 2025 to July 2026), updated September 30, 2026 — HMRC. Receipts totals and expected timing of the higher rate.
- Statistics background and references — HMRC. Cash accounting, payment patterns and revisions.
- Excise Notice 455a: Remote Gaming Duty — HMRC. Tax base, rate and payment deadlines.
- Gambling duty changes — HM Treasury and HMRC. November 2025 announcement and April 2026 implementation.
- Chancellor’s letter confirming the Budget 2026 date — HM Treasury.
- Impacts of changes to betting and gaming taxation, October 2025 (PDF) — EY, commissioned by the BGC. Tables 2 and 3 and modeling scope.
- BGC statement accompanying the EY tax analysis, October 26, 2025 — Betting and Gaming Council.
- Analysis of proposed Machine Games Duty changes, October 2, 2026 — Regulus Partners. Online-versus-retail assumptions and modeled shop-duty yield.
- Back Our Betting Shops campaign, September 28, 2026 — Betting and Gaming Council. The attributed £124 million claim.
- Addressing the harm: raising Machine Games Duty on Category B machines — Social Market Foundation. Proposed rate and static/dynamic revenue estimates.
- UK remote gaming tax up 108%: did the hike work? — NEXT.io, October 2, 2026. Stephen Hodgson’s comments.



